Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.668544e-05 3.197647e-05 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069
2025-05-04 2.029892e-05 2.719550e-05 0.000035 0.000045 0.000057 0.000071 0.000087
2025-05-11 1.719243e-05 2.528277e-05 0.000035 0.000048 0.000065 0.000084 0.000108
2025-05-18 1.420607e-05 2.284761e-05 0.000034 0.000050 0.000070 0.000094 0.000125
2025-05-25 1.044107e-05 1.863662e-05 0.000030 0.000046 0.000068 0.000096 0.000133
2025-06-01 7.949226e-06 1.572351e-05 0.000027 0.000045 0.000069 0.000100 0.000142
2025-06-08 6.423767e-06 1.397342e-05 0.000026 0.000044 0.000071 0.000106 0.000154
2025-06-15 5.135567e-06 1.234046e-05 0.000024 0.000044 0.000072 0.000111 0.000165
2025-06-22 3.898335e-06 1.051107e-05 0.000022 0.000042 0.000072 0.000113 0.000172
2025-06-29 2.832797e-06 8.724256e-06 0.000020 0.000039 0.000070 0.000114 0.000177
2025-07-06 1.977516e-06 7.102432e-06 0.000018 0.000037 0.000068 0.000114 0.000181
2025-07-13 1.497688e-06 6.178300e-06 0.000016 0.000036 0.000069 0.000117 0.000189
2025-07-20 1.049010e-06 5.270047e-06 0.000015 0.000036 0.000071 0.000124 0.000204
2025-07-27 7.638049e-07 4.673632e-06 0.000015 0.000036 0.000074 0.000133 0.000223
2025-08-03 6.487412e-07 4.576649e-06 0.000015 0.000039 0.000081 0.000148 0.000251
2025-08-10 4.813539e-07 4.163682e-06 0.000015 0.000040 0.000086 0.000158 0.000273
2025-08-17 2.431733e-07 3.147714e-06 0.000013 0.000037 0.000084 0.000159 0.000280
2025-08-24 1.216532e-07 2.470973e-06 0.000012 0.000036 0.000083 0.000162 0.000291
2025-08-31 6.632596e-08 2.088163e-06 0.000011 0.000035 0.000085 0.000169 0.000307
2025-09-07 3.099084e-08 1.727702e-06 0.000010 0.000035 0.000086 0.000175 0.000322
2025-09-14 9.309188e-09 1.327522e-06 0.000009 0.000033 0.000086 0.000177 0.000332
2025-09-21 1.191701e-09 9.598486e-07 0.000008 0.000031 0.000084 0.000178 0.000339
2025-09-28 3.295750e-12 6.566946e-07 0.000007 0.000029 0.000081 0.000177 0.000343